superintelligence paths dangers strategies

via iterative embryonic selection within individual generations and selective removal of genetic mutations that are deleterious to intelligence), creating brain–computer interfaces and networking individual intellects extremely efficiently to create a ‘collective superintelligence’. These paths include developing artificial intelligence capable of recursive self-improvement, imitating the existing low-level but necessary computational machinery of the human brain by emulating it onto a computer, significantly enhancing natural biological cognition (e.g. Next, he delineates various possible paths to superintelligence and notes that the existence of multiple possible paths increases the plausibility of eventually developing superintelligence. These figures, however, are conservative estimates although he does not offer a conclusive date, Bostom himself argues that superintelligence will likely arrive in a few decades (Müller & Bostrom, Citation2014) and that the transition from human-level intelligence to superintelligence will be explosively fast (perhaps within hours or minutes).

Economic history abounds with examples of periods of explosive growth, and 90% of experts (primarily representing computer science) surveyed from a number of polls conclude that man-made systems will reach human-level general intelligence by 2075, with 75% of researchers concluding that these systems will progress to superintelligence within 30 years of attaining human-level intelligence. Moreover, the book highlights an unsettling implication that is straightforwardly philosophical rather than scientific: the epistemic limitations of empirically assessing AI risk.īostrom argues that humanity will likely develop a superintelligence, defined as ‘any intellect that greatly exceeds the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest’, sometime within our lifetimes. The book painstakingly explicates the philosophical implications of current research in developing a ‘superintelligence’, thereby offering tangible benefits from philosophical speculation while also drawing extensively from contemporary scientific developments. Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies directly challenges these attitudes. We philosophers wrestle with the exact same problems the Pre-Socratics wrestled with.

Except for a patina of twenty-first century modernity, in the form of logic and language, philosophy is exactly the same now as it ever was it has made no progress whatsoever.

Superintelligence paths dangers strategies